What is a Running Estimate used for in MDMP?

A Running Estimate is a critical tool in the Military Decision-Making Process (MDMP), specifically designed to facilitate the continuous assessment of the current operational situation. By focusing on assessing ongoing operations against the commander's intent, it enables leaders to make timely and informed decisions.

The Running Estimate allows commanders and their staff to maintain a current understanding of the operational environment, adjust plans as necessary, and ensure that all actions taken align with the overarching objectives set forth by the commander. This continuous monitoring helps to identify whether the current actions and resources are effectively contributing to the mission and goals, thereby fostering adaptability in dynamic scenarios.

By regularly updating the Running Estimate, decision-makers can quickly identify deviations from the desired end state and recalibrate their strategies or tactics to meet the changing conditions on the ground. Thus, it serves as an essential mechanism for maintaining operational relevance and alignment with the commander's intent throughout the course of an operation.